Behold, Our 2017 Oscar Predictions

This article was last updated on April 16, 2022

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In a perfect world, the Oscars would be like the ending of Mean Girls, with everyone getting a piece of a plastic crown. In reality, it took Leonardo DiCaprio more than two decades to take home a trophy, a woman of color hasn’t won Best Actress in the 15 years since Halle Berry’s groundbreaking moment, and, every year, countless worthy performances are overlooked.

But hey, we’ll be watching the show on February 26, anyway. In the meantime, it’s all about sizing up the contenders and perfecting those predictions for the office Oscar pool. Though the 2017 Academy Awards nominations won’t be announced for weeks, some strong favorites have already emerged. You know, all those films your parents made you watch over the holidays.

Bottom line: You can bet that Moonlight and La La Land won’t go home empty-handed. Our predictions for who and what will be nominated — a list we’ll be updating weekly — reflect that.

That said, the Academy can never resist throwing out a few curveballs (cough, Crash, cough). Allow for the possibility of some Adrien-Brody-besting-Jack-Nicholson- and -Daniel-Day-Lewis action — with or without the onstage dip and tongue-dive.

Best Picture

Fences

La La Land

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight(pictured)

Wild Cards: Hidden Figures, Hacksaw Ridge, Loving, Silence

Predicted Winner: Moonlight

Photo: Courtesy of A24.

Best Actor

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences(pictured)

Wild Cards: Joel Edgerton ( Loving), Tom Hanks ( Sully), Andrew Garfield ( Silence)

Predicted Winner: Casey Affleck

Photo: Courtesy of Paramount Pictures.

Best Actress

Amy Adams, Arrival

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women

Isabelle Huppert, Elle(pictured)

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land

Wild Cards: Meryl Streep ( Florence Foster Jenkins), Jessica Chastain ( Miss Sloane), Emily Blunt ( The Girl on the Train), Kate Beckinsale ( Love & Friendship), Ruth Negga ( Loving)

Predicted Winner: Natalie Portman

Photo: The Moviestore Collection Ltd/REX/Shutterstock.

Best Director

Damien Chazelle, La La Land(pictured)

Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Jeff Nichols, Loving

Martin Scorsese, Silence

Wild Cards: Denzel Washington ( Fences), Mel Gibson ( Hacksaw Ridge), Tom Ford ( Nocturnal Animals), Pablo Larraín ( Jackie)

Predicted Winner: Damien Chazelle

Photo: Rex/Shutterstock.

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