Robopoll

The first robocall specific poll is out from Angus Reid and it provides little comfort for the Conservatives. The poll also reveals the opposition will find much support in pushing for further inquiry. As well, on a couple key questions, there is some consensus across party lines.

The opposition should ramp up the calls for a full public inquiry, that is shrewd politically and the concept finds overwhelming support with votes, even Conservatives:

81% want an independent investigation to find out exactly who was behind any misleading robocalls that may have been made in the May 2011 federal election…including 72% of Conservative voters

That is a big number, rarely do you see such unanimity on any question, even more striking the large majority of Conservative supporters on side. If the opposition really ramp up the calls for a public inquiry, there is a VERY sympathetic audience.

As I mentioned in the last post, a real tug of war politically revolving around isolating the robocalls, is it a "one off" or is it "systematic". This poll shows the Conservatives face headwinds:

64% think the Guelph incident is “probably’ or “definitely” one of many that took place in the last campaign…only 18% think it isolated.

I would argue the above also supports the need for a public inquiry, as people clearly aren’t buying the Conservative argument this is a rogue affair, in only one riding, they suspect more are in play.

As it relates to resonance, an even split, 50% following very closely or moderately close, 50% not much or not at all. Relatively, a pretty strong number as to the "water cooler" element, and perhaps moreso when you consider percentage of people who actually vote.

Another interesting finding, voters were asked if there should be by-elections in "every riding that was the subject of misleading robocalls should have a by-election as soon as possible." 50% of voters agreed, 37% don’t, a finding which provides fodder for possible recounts. As well, 44% of people believe robocalls have "changed the outcome" of the federal election, 36% don’t agree, concerning in that this controversy is undermining our democratic confidence. 

This is a quite a bad poll for the government side, people aren’t buying their arguments and they believe further inquiry is warranted, in overwhelming fashion. These results give the opposition some ammunition to keep up an aggressive posture, people are concerned and people are questioning.

Related: Robocall Reset

Click HERE to read more from Steve Val.

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3 Comments

  1. The tooth fairy dcomment_ID it. That ought to sell well with the Con base. Conservatives – whether federally or in Toronto – seem to be taking their base for granted and treating them as comment_content_IDiots with some of the thin defenses they’ve been touting for Robo-Gate.

  2. [quote name=”Kim Hunter”]Someone broke our election. We need a new one. Doesn’t matter who broke it. :-?[/quote]
    Uh, yes it does! Do you want the same criminals running for office again? Those responsible should not be eligible for office. Anywhere. Ever.
    If it was the PCs responsible [and who are we kcomment_IDding?] the party should be outlawed, disbanded, its assets seized and used to fund the real election. Then it’d be a cold day in hell before anyone would try this crap again. The 1 percenters who pull the puppet strings need to learn that their time is over, and people won’t stand for this kind of crap anymore.

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