The problem with roulette strategies in a long run

This article was last updated on April 16, 2022

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There is a common misperception about the Roulette, claiming that there are strategies which can help you become a successful gambler in the long run. In actuality, however, becoming a successful gambler is far from easy, especially when we talk about Roulette. Moreover, no strategy can ultimately boost your winning chances.

To begin with, there are two type of roulette wheels – one type features a single zero pocket, whereas the other comes with an additional double zero pockets, corresponding to European Roulette and American Roulette respectively. The European Roulette has 2.7% house edge, whereas its American counterpart comes with a house edge of 5.26%. According to RouletteVision, there are strategies which will help you surpass the house edge, thus making you a successful gambler in the long run.

Today, we embark on a quest to debunk the popular opinion that there are Roulette strategies for long-term success. In the following lines, we will discuss why roulette strategies prove ineffective in the long run.

The Problem With Roulette Strategies

The first thing you need to understand about the Roulette is that each spin is independent of the previous one as well as of the next one. Let us say, for example, that the ball landed on a red section 10 consecutive spins. Since each spin is independent of the other, this means that the 11th time may also result in the ball landing on a red section.

Having mentioned this, we can safely proceed to explaining why Roulette strategies prove to be ineffective in the long run. First of all, most Roulette strategies are based on the Monte Carlo fallacy. This term is used to describe gamblers’ belief that if one outcome appears frequently in the short run, it will not work in the long run. Consider the above-mentioned example: should we place a bet based on the Monte Carlo fallacy, we have to put our money on the ball landing on a black section.

Whereas this might seem like a reasonable hypothesis, in actuality it only works after a great many spins. In other words, in order for Monte Carlo fallacy-based Roulette strategies to work, you have to remain at the Roulette table for over 5,000 spins.

When a strategy needs so many spins to work, 10 spins or less mean absolutely nothing – you might win all 10 of them, but this does not mean your strategy will remain successful in the long run.

Second of all, a good many players foolishly believe that the wheel hits particular streaks – remember the example above. As a matter of fact, Roulette players know that such one-coloured and two-coloured  (when two colours appear alternately) streaks are not uncommon – their duration, however, rarely lasts for long. That is why putting your money on such streaks is not the wisest of strategies.

Last, but not least, it should be mentioned that most Roulette strategies aim to fool you into believing that short run wheel results will balance, but the case is different: results might balance at times, but not always. In truth, the real balance only appears in the long run. But the long run, as we said above, means hundreds of thousands of spins. Let us face it – nobody has such a big bankroll.

In conclusion, let us go back on the house edge in Roulette. As you might know, the house edge guarantees that the establishment will always end up the big winner, whatever happens. What is more, contrary to players’ beliefs, the house edge can never be minimised or completely eliminated – this is simply the way games of chance work.

How To Play Without Losing Everything

Keep in mind that any strategy might be successful at times. But this does not mean that you must embrace each strategy which has helped you win once or twice – the key to successful Roulette playing has more to do with how regularly you gamble than what strategy you use.

You might have heard that casual gamblers sometimes are more successful than regular gamblers. Naturally, the more you bet, the bigger your chances to lose. Conversely, if you play roulette once a month and you place one single bet, you might not end up bankrupt.

Casinos rely on your coming back to make their profits. What is more, there is an unwritten rule, stating that operators need to keep gamblers playing and returning to the venue. That is why, the longer you play, the more your bankroll contributes to the casino’s pocket.

But this does not mean you should not play at all – after all, casino games should be about fun and entertainment, and not so much about winning. In the end, we would like to advise you to play European Roulette. European Roulette comes with a lower house edge, meaning you will be losing money at a slower pace.

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