This article was last updated on April 16, 2022
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STRENGTHS
Joker in the pack in a triangular contest
Old traditional base & Decent support among Upper Caste, Dalits and Muslims
With 6%-8% vote share, any party can’t defeat BJP without Congress support
WEAKNESS
Dearth of strong local leadership
Absence of even a single anchor voting segment unlike BSP (Dalits), SP (MY) and BJP (Upper Caste)
Rift between old guard and Prashant Kishore team wrt campaign strategy
Out of power since 1989 has led to demotivation amongst party cadre
Party unable to devise strategy to counter mandal and kamandal in the state
OPPORTUNITY
Improve performance by piggybacking on SP vote bank in line with good show in Bihar and WB
Revive traditional vote bank of Dalits-Muslims-Brahmins
Be part of a govt. in state after nearly 3 decades
Improved performance to help Congress bid for comeback in 2019
Able to stop BJP juggernaut in UP
THREAT
Alliance partner SP unable to transfer vote share to INC
Loss of upper caste votes to BJP due to alliance with SP
Loss of Dalit votes to BSP due to alliance with SP
Public preference for same govt. in state and center
BJP is able to form govt. in state and consolidate position nationally
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